Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 13.075872 15.307987 17.745017 20.595352 23.829254 27.375806 31.550739
2025-03-16 8.556085 11.381019 14.802046 19.211374 24.701183 31.265606 39.658362
2025-03-23 6.748152 9.927228 14.098963 19.883812 27.593246 37.398407 50.677147
2025-03-30 5.640899 9.034771 13.795987 20.802884 30.660632 43.816756 62.438197
2025-04-06 4.458722 7.749592 12.668238 20.318546 31.627150 47.386936 70.583687
2025-04-13 3.448728 6.494854 11.335784 19.271803 31.557663 49.375211 76.550349
2025-04-20 3.091877 6.212244 11.419764 20.316308 34.590118 55.929737 89.362711
2025-04-27 2.848305 6.070484 11.690342 21.650107 38.139309 63.451447 104.037226
2025-05-04 2.491855 5.650832 11.419424 22.035789 40.181866 68.788781 115.730593
2025-05-11 2.127182 5.141013 10.907209 21.927806 41.369409 72.829218 125.627217
2025-05-18 1.787806 4.611399 10.274305 21.513215 41.967359 75.920423 134.159467
2025-05-25 1.519406 4.176369 9.753245 21.226381 42.729269 79.283824 143.266858
2025-06-01 1.277182 3.765838 9.255402 20.994444 43.694717 83.267276 154.016930
2025-06-08 0.981637 3.154441 8.243793 19.640119 42.503230 83.543283 158.735101
2025-06-15 0.882176 3.018724 8.244446 20.335689 45.227931 90.830071 175.806257
2025-06-22 0.809902 2.938644 8.357197 21.274607 48.495871 99.284573 195.365033
2025-06-29 0.668305 2.617853 7.842542 20.781239 48.863252 102.471866 205.812227
2025-07-06 0.525123 2.243306 7.120210 19.714098 47.938017 103.163794 211.785752
2025-07-13 0.493104 2.222943 7.308734 20.779044 51.552558 112.657730 234.283162
2025-07-20 0.474010 2.242620 7.607671 22.138710 55.898786 123.797422 260.348749
2025-07-27 0.422437 2.128391 7.516339 22.531829 58.169740 131.011115 279.416866
2025-08-03 0.362308 1.960091 7.238945 22.421766 59.309324 136.041562 294.589594
2025-08-10 0.302908 1.770801 6.860900 21.999175 59.694270 139.559269 307.011602